Here we go again.
Five years ago, the
Guangdong village of Wukan was in the international news being touted as
the potential birthplace of a new democracy in China. After months of protest
in the summer and fall of 2011, residents were allowed in March of 2012 to
select their own local leaders from a slate that wasn’t dictated by the
Communist party. Even Chinese state media picked up the story then, though they
spun
it as the understandable consequence of citizen anger at illegal land seizures,
using the case to chastise officials who Beijing claimed were out of touch with
the common folk and their complaints.
Now, in 2016, Wukan is the scene of violent
confrontations between residents and the government.
The story of Wukan [乌坎] has been a seductive one for many observers—a tale that fits
very nicely in the Establishment Narrative of New China: suddenly angry and empowered
peasants seeking to overthrow authority and establish a experiment that would
eventually produce wider political change in a country purportedly crying out
for it. That idea appeals to those who like change from below in China, led by a
romantic figure or two who take heroic acts against oppression. Human rights
activists, lawyers, feminists, students—anyone outside officialdom who finds
the Chinese government repugnant is then elevated to the status of “change
maker”. When it’s villagers fighting for their land rights, the story becomes
even more appealing to observers, some of whom see it as their job to give
these protestors voice—as if they weren’t capable to doing that themselves.
In 2011-2012, many commentators portrayed Wukan
as a game-changer for China, the spark that would light a prairie fire under
party officials and compel them to open up the political process, thereby
challenging Communist rule. To change China, it only takes a village. Or so the story goes.
It was nothing of the sort then, and it’s
nothing of the kind now.
In fact, what happened in Wukan the first
time around wasn’t unique. Many villages throughout China already had local
elections, and while the Communist party overwhelmingly dictated the acceptable
candidates, the slate usually included officials that residents at least knew, even
if they weren’t ones that they necessarily preferred. Indeed, Chinese villagers
weren’t always seething with anger at this state of affairs; if they had been,
there would have been many more Wukans before then. (Protests in China evolved
locally and they were solved locally then and now.) Rural residents had other
problems to deal with--economic growth, dwindling population because of the
migration of residents to nearby cities, and other specifically local issues.
They knew that village elections were really “selections” —and they elected to
go along.
What was different in Wukan was that there
were not only illegal land seizures, but also a local protest leader--Lin
Zuluan--who was unafraid to mobilize protestors on his behalf and try to co-opt
the existing system to run for office himself. Lin was (and remains) as
articulate as he was fearless; made himself available to the foreign press; and
won much local support, especially when he insisted on opening the Wukan village
accounts to see just how much money local officials had managed to receive from
developers and not distribute to residents. With the Guangdong party apparatus’
go-ahead to stand for office, Lin got himself elected. He fit the Establishment
Narrative profile to near perfection (he was in his late 60s after all then,
not the young rabble-rouser that many observers believe to represent a “New
China”): an individual (so he’s not part of a collective, but a “hero” in the
best Western tradition, so he can be singled out for praise); he was active and
available for interviews; and he opposed the existing power structure. Lin was
seen as a grassroots reformer, whose influence would surely spread beyond
Wukan.
But the promised political renaissance in
Wukan itself quickly ran into reality. Chinese local government is notorious
for being run by cliques, sometimes families, supported by higher-level
officials interested in exploiting a region’s resources (land, minerals, labor)
for their own particular purposes. Wukan wasn’t an exception, and Lin and his
allies very quickly encountered the problem of getting local power-holders to
return seized land and start engaging in transparency. The foreign press largely left,
having reported the story that more than a handful wanted to hear, because many believed
that an election in Wukan had kick-started political change in China. State
media pulled back too, and active
support from some in Beijing for what Lin was trying to do locally began to
recede. Lin’s adversaries—that is, Wukan’s main stakeholders—gradually sought
to take advantage of dissension in the village that followed Lin’s election
when he was unable to deliver on his promises. Lin might have been serving as
party secretary of the village, but the real power was above and around him,
and that situation hadn’t changed at all.
What kicked off these latest protests in
Wukan isn’t a longing for more democracy but an attempt to help Lin stay in
office when others—possibly in Beijing, almost certainly in Guangdong--want him
out and think they can finally make that happen. Lin’s enemies—likely
developers and their local patrons who wanted to clear more land--seem to have
engineered a power play and managed to get Lin charged with graft this past
June. Lin did what village leaders have done for decades: He threatened
protests and for that he was detained—unsurprisingly, because the laws
governing such activity have been noticeably tightened in the past 2 years. After Lin’s arrest,
his supporters called for his release, demonstrating in the village for nearly
3 months without success. Last week, Lin received a jail sentence of at least
three years (based in large part on what appears to have been
a bogus confession), and it’s that verdict that’s sparked the assaults and
anger from his people and government security forces, each with their own sources
of support inside and outside Wukan.
Wukan is demonstrating once again the real
limits of local people power in China. As of Wednesday evening, Chinese
state authorities continue to censor reports of the protests, and have been
scrubbing social media sites of mentions. Foreign journalists looking to
broadcast about the contretemps in Wukan aren’t
allowed anywhere near—which isn’t exactly shocking either. For many in the
international media, Wukan is again the main show. That’s in large part because
it has all the ingredients of a courageous local struggle against State power,
complete with a citizen uprising, stone-throwing, truncheon-swingers, angry
authority wading in and being pushed back by a populace eager to defend their
rights. It’s great theater for some, especially because what was once seen as
triumphant is now turning tragic.
But for Beijing, Wukan has always been a
sideshow, and it’s time to shut it down. Indeed, for the Chinese
leadership, the main act is elsewhere. While Wukan seethed, coverage of the expulsion of 45
deputies in China’s National People's Congress from the northeast province of
Liaoning for vote buying and bribery led
yesterday’s edition of People’s Daily. That's because Beijing believes that the greatest threat isn’t from grassroots movements but
graft at the top. Not for the first time, outside observers and Chinese officials
are looking in opposite directions.
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